Abstract
In this research, we compared the effectiveness of four promising interventions (Priming, Inoculation, Active Inoculation, and Discernment), on a range of conspiracy thinking measures. Across two studies (total N = 1,766), we found that the inoculation-based interventions (but not Priming and Discernment conditions) were effective at reducing susceptibility to novel implausible conspiracy theories but did not improve critical appraisal of novel plausible conspiracy theories. We found that only the Discernment condition, which discouraged blind scepticism of conspiracy theories, significantly improved critical appraisal of both plausible and implausible conspiracy theories. The inoculation-based interventions (but not Priming and Discernment conditions) were moderately successful at reducing epistemically unwarranted beliefs. However, no intervention statistically significantly reduced general conspiracy ideation or significantly affected likelihood judgements for hypothetical conspiracy theories. The overall intervention effects ranged from small to moderate (ds = 0.14 - 0.72). These findings highlight both the importance of teaching discernment and measuring discernment as an outcome, as many well-established interventions designed to reduce belief in conspiracy theories may have either no effect or negatively impact participants’ ability to critically reason about plausible conspiracy theories.Key Takeaways
- In the initial large-scale study (N = 1,032), both Active Inoculation and passive Inoculation interventions demonstrated significant efficacy in reducing epistemically unwarranted beliefs compared to the Control group. Specifically, the Active condition showed a reduction with an effect size of d = -0.27 (p = .008), while the Passive condition showed a reduction of d = -0.25 (p = .026), supporting that brief interventions can successfully mitigate unfounded beliefs.
- The second study (N = 547) suggested that while standard inoculation methods improved the detection of implausible theories, they may potentially also increase skepticism towards plausible ones, a phenomenon the authors termed blind scepticism.
- Across the research program, the Priming intervention—designed to mimic government warning campaigns—consistently failed to produce significant improvements over the Control group. In Study 2, participants in the Priming condition showed no statistically significant difference in overall critical thinking scores compared to controls (p > .05), and analysis of Study 1 found no significant reduction in unwarranted beliefs for the Priming group (p > .05), suggesting that simple warnings alone are insufficient.

















